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1994-05-09
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<text>
<title>
German Says GATT Agreement "Victory for Free Trade"
</title>
<article>
<hdr>
Foreign Broadcast Information Service, December 17, 1993
German Says GATT Agreement "Victory for Free Trade"
</hdr>
<body>
<p> [Klaus Peter Krause commentary: "A Victory for More Free
Trade"]
</p>
<p> [Text] The war of nerves is over. All can breathe a sigh of
relief: states, their economies, and consumers. The eighth
multilateral GATT round on the liberalization of world trade has
been successfully concluded. The outcome, albeit not perfect,
will be like a warm April shower for the global economy. It
boosts optimism, and because it reduces restrictions on trade,
it will give free rein to economic forces.
</p>
<p> The GATT agreement will give world trade an added boost.
Customs tariffs will be lowered, subsidies reduced, and markets
(gradually) opened up. The agreement has the effect of a state
economic program. There cannot be a better one: no state
economic program makes more sense or has a more sustained effect
than a decision to promote free trade. Free and open markets are
always necessary for economic well-being. Now, however, they are
the order of the day if the economy is to receive the boost it
requires.
</p>
<p> It will only be possible for this stimulus to develop after
1995, because the treaty first has to be ratified by the GATT
states. It is an especially urgent requirement for the old
industrialized states. They are not only stuck in a recession,
but their economies are also experiencing a structural crisis
that involves propping up uneconomic branches of industry,
excessive protection from competitive imports, too much state
intervention, and wage rate cartels. The music of economic
progress is now to be heard in the Far East, not in Europe.
</p>
<p> Trade produces prosperity. More trade leads to more
prosperity. However, the increase in prosperity will not be
distributed evenly. The old industrial countries (OECD States)
will benefit most, then the threshold states of the Far East,
and Third World countries less so. The poorest of them will even
benefit least from the increase in prosperity: They receive too
little attention as the big players haggle over trade.
</p>
<p> Consumers can also breathe a sigh of relief--that is, all
the people in the participating states: If those things that
hinder the international exchange of goods are reduced or
removed, the supply of goods will improve and all the
participating countries will gain in prosperity. Adam Smith and
David Ricardo, the classical free trade thinkers, already
developed that theory in the 18th century. The immediate
benefits to consumers will also be reflected in a tendency for
prices to fall.
</p>
<p> This will, however, involve hard work. No previous round
has last as long as the current, eighth round, which has gone on
for seven years and has been accompanied by drama, serious
crises, poker tactics, and a negotiating marathon. Progress was
delayed by the two giants in world trade, the United States and
the EU. What was particularly shocking was how openly and
shamelessly the United States presented its protectionist side.
In the case of France, one is already accustomed to its
shamelessness regarding protectionism. Germany really allowed
itself to be blackmailed by Paris, which operated in a
consummately brutal fashion. The interests of certain groups
among France's farmers were magnified into questions of national
existence. Yet France's economy with its strong export sector is
just as dependent on free trade as the German one. Paris made
sure that it was paid several times over for approving GATT,
although its economy is one of the main beneficiaries of the new
agreement.
</p>
<p> It is depressing for the other participating states that
seemingly only the United States and Europe count, whereas they
themselves have to wait on the sidelines until the two big
players reach agreement; they more or less have to remain
obedient while the two agree or disagree. Even Japan remained
somewhat in the background, and only attracted attention with
its ban on imports of rice, which has now been slightly eased
with the greatest apprehension.
</p>
<p> Without doubt, protectionism does not make economic sense
in the long run and harms people's well-being. The free trade
message is equally beyond dispute, and it is: With
protectionism, one not only harms one's trading partner, but
harms oneself the most. This makes what the free trade round
failed to accomplish all the more depressing and painful.
Namely, other ("nontariff") barriers to trade have replaced the
old customs restrictions a long time ago; the protectionists'
capacity for innovation is inexhaustible. As there are still too
many restrictions, exuberance--although there is satisfaction
with the moves toward liberalization that have now been
achieved--is out of place. A battle against protectionism has
been won, but by no means the war.
</p>
<p> In terms of its scope, however, this is the most
significant GATT round so far. It is the first time that
services extending across borders, textiles, and intellectual
property (patents, licenses) have been included in GATT. A
worldwide reduction of one-third in customs tariffs has been
achieved. The United States has made concessions on its
commercial law and is modifying it to conform to GATT
regulations. Speaking about the latest European Commission white paper,
Delors said: "The peoples of Europe need a message that gives
hope." At least, the GATT agreement provides such a message.
</p>
</body>
</article>
</text>